Appendix Table A1. Comparison of Crop Prices for Alternative Policy Scenarios.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
             1994     1995     1996     1997     1998     1999     2000     2001     2002     2003
____________________________________________________________________________________________________

 Corn ($/bu.)
 Baseline    2.15     2.31     2.24     2.11     2.21     2.22     2.25     2.32     2.29     2.38
 F T F A     2.15     2.31     2.21     2.13     2.27     2.22     2.31     2.35     2.36     2.44
 30% FLEX    2.15     2.31     2.30     2.16     2.28     2.26     2.28     2.35     2.33     2.41

Wheat ($/bu.)
 Baseline    3.47     3.35     3.14     2.99     3.01     3.15     3.33     3.39     3.46     3.57
 F T F A     3.47     3.35     3.09     2.89     2.94     3.11     3.39     3.48     3.54     3.65
 30% FLEX    3.47     3.35     3.11     2.86     2.87     3.06     3.33     3.43     3.50     3.62

Cotton ($/lb.)
 Baseline  0.6747   0.6376   0.6244   0.6134   0.5969   0.5915   0.5858   0.6138   0.5997   0.6161
 F T F A   0.6747   0.6376   0.6343   0.6064   0.5737   0.5806   0.5806   0.6159   0.5926   0.6188
 30% FLEX  0.6747   0.6376   0.6241   0.6108   0.5900   0.5874   0.5849   0.6174   0.6025   0.6210

Sorghum ($/bu.)
 Baseline    2.02     2.23     2.14     1.98     2.07     2.09     2.12     2.21     2.21     2.29
 F T F A     2.02     2.23     2.14     2.01     2.15     2.11     2.19     2.27     2.29     2.37
 30% FLEX    2.02     2.23     2.22     2.04     2.14     2.14     2.17     2.26     2.27     2.36

Soybeans ($/bu.)
 Baseline    5.35     5.48     5.67     5.63     5.59     5.67     5.75     5.89     6.06     6.12
 F T F A     5.35     5.48     5.50     5.39     5.32     5.46     5.54     5.75     5.94     6.00
 30% FLEX    5.35     5.48     5.45     5.46     5.40     5.48     5.55     5.69     5.87     5.93

Barley ($/bu.)
 Baseline    2.02     2.21     2.19     2.03     2.03     2.04     2.06     2.11     2.13     2.20
 F T F A     2.02     2.21     2.17     1.98     2.05     2.10     2.30     2.28     2.32     2.38
 30% FLEX    2.02     2.21     2.17     1.94     1.96     2.03     2.18     2.18     2.20     2.27

Oats ($/bu.)
 Baseline    1.23     1.29     1.37     1.32     1.31     1.33     1.36     1.40     1.40     1.42
 F T F A     1.23     1.29     1.37     1.32     1.32     1.33     1.37     1.42     1.43     1.44
 30% FLEX    1.23     1.29     1.37     1.30     1.30     1.32     1.35     1.39     1.40     1.42

Rice ($/cwt.)
 Baseline    6.31     6.55     6.52     6.55     6.68     6.78     6.96     7.00     7.15     7.39
 F T F A     6.31     6.55     7.89     7.13     7.39     7.55     7.75     7.79     8.01     8.21
 30% FLEX    6.31     6.55     6.98     6.87     6.97     7.10     7.29     7.33     7.49     7.73

Soybean Meal ($/ton)
 Baseline  150.80   160.98   166.95   166.00   167.93   171.80   178.95   185.01   189.41   194.66
 F T F A   150.80   160.98   162.92   160.82   162.42   166.79   174.54   181.32   187.22   191.76
 30% FLEX  150.80   160.98   162.81   162.70   164.70   168.53   175.32   181.26   185.93   191.10

All Hay ($/ton)
 Baseline   78.15    76.15    77.07    78.31    79.75    77.63    73.18    70.85    69.08    69.73
 F T F A    78.15    76.15    76.99    78.31    79.93    77.77    73.36    70.95    69.13    69.72
 30% FLEX   78.15    76.15    77.21    78.49    79.97    77.83    73.29    70.90    69.13    69.79
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at the University
        of Missouri-Columbia and Iowa State University.

Appendix Table A2. Comparison of Loan Rates and Target Prices for Alternative Policy Scenarios. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Loan Rate Corn ($/bu.) Baseline 1.89 1.83 1.84 1.80 1.80 1.78 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.82 F T F A 1.89 1.83 1.60 1.56 1.56 1.55 1.56 1.56 1.59 1.62 30% FLEX 1.89 1.83 1.84 1.82 1.82 1.81 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.85 Wheat ($/bu.) Baseline 2.58 2.56 2.65 2.65 2.62 2.56 2.50 2.50 2.55 2.65 F T F A 2.58 2.56 2.30 2.30 2.26 2.19 2.13 2.13 2.21 2.33 30% FLEX 2.58 2.56 2.65 2.65 2.62 2.51 2.43 2.43 2.49 2.64 Cotton ($/lb.) Baseline 0.5000 0.5192 0.5070 0.5230 0.5314 0.5314 0.5198 0.5105 0.5105 0.5066 F T F A 0.5000 0.5192 0.4181 0.4336 0.4388 0.4388 0.4250 0.4125 0.4125 0.4092 30% FLEX 0.5000 0.5192 0.5070 0.5229 0.5305 0.5305 0.5170 0.5066 0.5066 0.5043 Sorghum ($/bu.) Baselin 1.80 1.74 1.75 1.71 1.71 1.69 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.73 F T F A 1.80 1.74 1.52 1.49 1.49 1.47 1.49 1.49 1.51 1.55 30% FLE 1.80 1.74 1.75 1.73 1.73 1.72 1.75 1.74 1.74 1.76 Soybeans ($/bu.) Baselin 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 F T F A 4.92 4.92 3.88 3.86 3.83 3.79 3.82 3.82 3.83 3.92 30% FLE 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 Barley ($/bu.) Baselin 1.54 1.49 1.50 1.47 1.47 1.45 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.48 F T F A 1.54 1.49 1.44 1.46 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.48 1.50 1.56 30% FLE 1.54 1.49 1.50 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.50 1.49 1.49 1.51 Oats ($/bu.) Baselin 0.97 0.94 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.94 F T F A 0.97 0.94 0.89 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.96 30% FLE 0.97 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.95 Rice ($/cwt.) Baselin 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 F T F A 6.50 6.50 4.76 4.83 5.03 4.91 5.15 5.30 5.30 5.39 30% FLE 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 Target Price Corn ($/bu.) Baselin 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 F T F A 2.75 2.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 Wheat ($/bu.) Baselin 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 F T F A 4.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 Cotton ($/lb.) Baseline 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 F T F A 0.7290 0.7290 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 30% FLEX 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 0.7290 Sorghum ($/bu.) Baseline 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 F T F A 2.61 2.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLEX 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 Barley ($/bu.) Baseline 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 F T F A 2.36 2.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLEX 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 Oats ($/bu.) Baseline 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 F T F A 1.45 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLEX 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 Rice ($/cwt.) Baseline 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 F T F A 10.71 10.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLEX 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 10.71 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Source: Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at the University of Missouri-Columbia and Iowa State University.
Appendix Table A3. Comparison of Fixed Deficiency Payment Rates for Alternative Policy Scenarios. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Corn ($/bu.) Baseline 0.5957 0.4329 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 F T F A 0.5957 0.4329 0.3096 0.2767 0.2993 0.2846 0.2358 0.1923 0.1806 0.1806 30% FLEX 0.5957 0.4329 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Wheat ($/bu.) Baseline 0.5267 0.6513 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 F T F A 0.5267 0.6513 0.6943 0.6063 0.6428 0.6031 0.4952 0.4037 0.3787 0.3787 30% FLEX 0.5267 0.6513 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Cotton ($/lb.) Baseline 0.0543 0.0832 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 F T F A 0.0543 0.0832 0.1214 0.1073 0.1152 0.1092 0.0904 0.0737 0.0692 0.0692 30% FLEX 0.0543 0.0832 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Sorghum ($/bu.) Baseline 1.0550 0.6779 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 F T F A 1.0550 0.6779 0.5473 0.4691 0.4957 0.4670 0.3845 0.3132 0.2939 0.2939 30% FLEX 1.0550 0.6779 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Barley ($/bu.) Baseline 0.3354 0.1644 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 F T F A 0.3354 0.1644 0.3290 0.2769 0.2864 0.2656 0.2157 0.1757 0.1647 0.1647 30% FLEX 0.3354 0.1644 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Oats ($/bu.) Baseline 0.2250 0.1640 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 F T F A 0.2250 0.1640 0.1066 0.0847 0.0848 0.0770 0.0615 0.0499 0.0465 0.0465 30% FLEX 0.2250 0.1640 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Rice ($/cwt.) Baseline 4.2100 4.2003 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 F T F A 4.2100 4.2003 3.7032 3.3362 3.6139 3.4402 2.8526 2.3265 2.1863 2.1863 30% FLEX 4.2100 4.2003 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Source: Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at the University of Missouri-Columbia and Iowa State University.
Appendix Table A4. Comparison of Acreage Reduction Fractions and Non-Payment Fractions for Alternative Policy Scenarios. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Acreage Reduction Fractions Corn Baselin 0.000 0.075 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.025 0.025 0.000 0.000 F T F A 0.000 0.075 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30% FLE 0.000 0.075 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.025 0.025 0.000 0.000 Wheat Baselin 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 F T F A 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30% FLE 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Cotton Baselin 0.109 0.000 0.000 0.050 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 F T F A 0.109 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30% FLE 0.109 0.000 0.000 0.050 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 0.100 Sorghum Baselin 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 F T F A 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30% FLE 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Barley Baselin 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 F T F A 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30% FLE 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Oats Baselin 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 F T F A 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30% FLE 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Rice Baselin 0.000 0.050 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 F T F A 0.000 0.050 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30% FLE 0.000 0.050 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Non-Payment Corn Baselin 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 F T F A 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Wheat Baselin 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 F T F A 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Cotton Baselin 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 F T F A 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Sorghum Baselin 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 F T F A 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Barley Baselin 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 F T F A 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Oats Baselin 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 F T F A 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Rice Baselin 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 F T F A 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30% FLE 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Source: Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at the University of Missouri-Columbia and Iowa State University.
Appendix Table A5. Comparison of Assumed Rates of Change in Input Prices, Annual Interest Rates, and Annual Rates of Change in Farmland Values by Region. ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Annual Rate of Change for Input Prices Paid Seed Prices (%) Baseline 0.74 2.83 2.61 2.23 2.90 2.25 2.19 2.46 1.97 Fertilizer Prices (%) Baseline 4.00 -4.67 -2.13 1.94 2.69 2.96 2.45 2.59 2.83 Chemical Prices (% Baseline 3.64 4.32 3.24 3.53 2.74 3.10 2.91 2.87 2.95 Machinery Prices (%) Baseline 1.40 2.06 2.44 2.58 2.69 2.92 3.03 2.99 3.01 Fuel and Lube Prices (%) Baseline 2.77 2.75 3.22 3.88 5.17 5.12 4.38 4.41 4.53 Labor (%) Baseline 1.63 1.83 1.67 2.11 2.69 2.86 2.91 3.00 3.13 Other Input Prices (%) Baseline 1.31 2.71 3.20 3.23 3.29 3.44 3.55 3.43 3.41 Consumer Price Index Baseline 153.35 158.69 164.28 169.97 175.99 182.33 188.95 195.76 202.70 Annual Interest Rates Long-Term (%) Baseline 8.16 8.21 8.03 7.83 7.51 7.12 6.80 6.82 6.78 Intermediate-Term (%) Baseline 9.50 9.30 8.60 8.26 7.86 7.41 6.99 6.84 6.77 Savings Account (%) Baseline 5.50 5.30 4.60 4.26 3.86 4.41 2.99 2.84 2.77 Annual Change in Farmland Values, by Region Pacific Northwest (%) Baseline -1.23 -0.81 -0.82 -1.47 -0.85 -0.50 -0.46 -0.36 F T F A -1.38 -1.55 -1.59 -1.00 -1.87 -0.90 -0.20 -0.22 30% FLEX -1.38 -1.55 -1.59 -1.00 -1.87 -0.90 -0.20 -0.22 California (%) Baseline 0.66 2.23 3.38 2.64 2.92 3.46 3.28 2.87 F T F A 0.66 2.15 3.25 2.53 2.87 3.40 3.00 2.20 30% FLEX 0.66 2.15 3.25 2.53 2.87 3.40 3.00 2.20 Mountain States (%) Baseline -1.23 -0.81 -0.82 -1.47 -0.85 -0.50 -0.46 -0.36 F T F A -1.38 -1.55 -1.59 -1.00 -1.87 -0.90 -0.24 -0.22 30% FLEX -1.38 -1.55 -1.59 -1.00 -1.87 -0.90 -0.24 -0.22 Midwestern States (%) Baseline 0.82 1.75 1.35 1.33 1.33 2.29 2.49 2.71 F T F A 0.80 1.18 0.23 0.55 0.90 1.96 2.30 2.42 30% FLEX 0.80 1.18 0.23 0.55 0.90 1.96 2.30 2.42 Delta States (%) Baseline -1.04 -0.41 -0.86 -0.82 -1.54 -0.89 -1.09 -1.45 F T F A -1.05 -1.24 -1.03 -1.39 -2.00 -0.98 -1.56 -1.59 30% FLEX -1.05 -1.24 -1.03 -1.39 -2.00 -0.98 -1.56 -1.59 Southeastern States (%) Baseline 1.11 1.18 0.14 0.90 -0.14 0.23 0.35 0.43 F T F A 1.11 1.09 -0.02 0.70 -0.37 0.00 0.23 0.40 30% FLEX 1.11 1.09 -0.02 0.70 -0.37 0.00 0.23 0.40 Northeastern States (%) Baseline 0.82 1.75 1.35 1.33 1.33 2.29 2.49 2.71 F T F A 0.85 1.18 0.23 0.55 0.90 1.96 2.33 2.62 30% FLEX 0.85 1.18 0.23 0.55 0.90 1.96 2.33 2.62 Great Lakes States (%) Baseline 0.82 1.75 1.35 1.33 1.33 2.29 2.49 2.71 F T F A 0.85 1.18 0.23 0.55 0.90 1.96 2.33 2.62 30% FLEX 0.85 1.18 0.23 0.55 0.90 1.96 2.33 2.62 Northern Great Plains (%) Baseline 0.56 0.62 0.42 0.23 1.78 2.83 2.20 1.49 F T F A 0.60 0.06 0.00 -0.71 0.71 2.00 2.00 1.20 30% FLEX 0.60 0.06 0.00 -0.71 0.71 2.00 2.00 1.20 Texas (%) Baseline 0.33 0.83 0.01 -0.22 -0.48 0.53 -1.00 -0.76 F T F A 0.38 0.43 -0.16 -0.90 -0.57 0.58 -1.40 -1.40 30% FLEX 0.38 0.43 -0.16 -0.90 -0.57 0.58 -1.40 -1.40 ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Source: Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at the University of Missouri-Columbia and Iowa State University.